How much impact will Lithuanian laser industry have on China?
Since last year, Lithuania has repeatedly provoked China. For this reason, China has reduced the neutral bilateral relations to the level of agency, in order to show its resolute opposition to Lithuania.
Under China's powerful counter-measures, Lithuania's domestic economic development has been frustrated, and the people have complained.
Since then, Lithuania has once expressed its regret and is willing to make efforts to improve the neutral relations between the two countries and uphold the one China principle.
However, while China is waiting to see, Lithuania has recently jumped out and started to hop around, courting for help, trying to create a "small circle" to deal with China.
We can only say that Lithuania keeps pushing itself to the edge of the cliff.
In the face of Lithuania's unbridled provocation, China has begun a new round of strong counterattack. Although a small country like Lithuania continues to brush its own sense of existence in the international community, it is difficult to cause too much harm to China.
However, many people worry that Lithuania will "choke on" China in the laser field. After all, looking at the world, Lithuania's laser technology is "world-class". Even the United States, a major scientific and technological country, is difficult to shake Lithuania in the laser field.
So what is the status of Lithuanian laser technology? Will Lithuania "choke" China in the field of laser technology? What is the status quo of China's laser technology?
When it comes to laser technology, we may not be unfamiliar with it. With the rapid development of electronic industry, laser technology plays an increasingly important role in the high-tech field, and is widely used in national defense, medicine, science and technology, industry, agriculture and other fields.
Therefore, laser technology is known as "the fastest weapon" and "the most bizarre light" in the world. It is the greatest invention of human society. Its value can even be comparable to the great Ming Dynasty, such as nuclear energy, computers and semiconductors.
Many people may habitually think that the United States or China is the "leading brother" of global laser technology. If they think so, they are very wrong. Lithuania is the world's leading country in laser technology.
Speaking of this, many people in Kenya are going to scold again. How can Lithuania, a "small pellet country", be the "leading brother" of the world's laser industry? Yes, it is Lithuania.
You may not know that at present, the voice of the world's laser industry is in the hands of Lithuania, a "small country". Even the United States, which is known as the world's strongest scientific and technological power, will bow to Lithuania in the field of laser technology.
Lithuania has a population of 2.8 million, less than that of China. The land area is only 65300 square kilometers, which is smaller than the area of Ningxia Autonomous Region in China.
However, it is such a "small country with bullets" that has become a world leader in the field of laser technology.
Lithuania's laser industry has a long history. As early as 1966, Vilnius University of Lithuania successfully developed the world's first laser generator.
Since then, Lithuanian laser technology has always been in the leading position in the world, and has successively developed tunable wavelength picosecond, femtosecond optical parametric amplifier and ultrafast spectrum technology.
By the early 1980s, Lithuanian laser technology had entered the international market, led the development trend of the laser industry in the world, and became the "great power" of laser technology, providing laser generators, electronic optical components, cutting, layers and other laser processing equipment and workstations for global laser users.
Up to now, Lithuania has a number of laser products in the international leading position, occupying a large market share. For example, the scientific laser instrument produced in Lithuania accounts for 10% of the global market share, and the femtosecond laser instrument accounts for more than 50% of the global market share.
Femtosecond laser is called "dragon slaying knife" in laser. It is the shortest pulse technology that can only be obtained under laboratory conditions. The huge power it produces in an instant is greater than the total power of power generation in the world. It has been widely used in aviation material processing, myopia treatment surgery and many other aspects, and has made great contributions to the development and progress of human society.
It is precisely because it has mastered the leading power of the global femtosecond laser technology that Lithuania is properly the "leading brother" in the global laser field. Although Lithuania is a "small pellet country", it has the most advanced laser technology enterprise in the world.
At present, there are more than 30 enterprises engaged in the laser industry in Lithuania, including four laser enterprises with more than 100 employees, and the rest are about 10 small and micro laser enterprises.
Although the total number of employees engaged in laser technology in Lithuania is less than 800, and most enterprises look small, they are all well-known national enterprises in the laser field all over the world. For example, exma, a Lithuanian laser enterprise.
As we all know, ASML lithography machine is the lifeblood of domestic chip manufacturing in China. The laser light source used by ASML lithography machine is provided by Germany tongkuai company, but Lithuania exma company is also the supplier of Germany tongkuai company.
Today, after decades of rapid development, Lithuanian laser equipment and accessories have been distributed in most university laboratories and scientific research institutions in the world.
Laser equipment made in Lithuania is used by NASA, the European Space Agency, Israel's nuclear research center and the world's top 100 universities. Many universities, scientific research institutions and equipment manufacturing enterprises in China are using laser products of Lithuanian laser enterprises in large quantities, and even China National Science Center is no exception.
According to the data, in 2017, China imported up to 15million euros of Lithuanian laser equipment and optical instruments.
Lithuanian laser equipment has become the fourth most important commodity exported to the Chinese market, accounting for 10% of the total trade volume of Lithuania exported to China. Therefore, China has become the third largest market for Lithuanian laser technology export.
According to statistics, the annual output value of Lithuania's laser industry is about 100million euros, equivalent to 700million yuan. Although this figure seems very small, it also accounts for a very good proportion for Lithuania, a small country with an annual GDP of only more than 300 billion yuan.
At present, the Lithuanian laser industry continues to grow at a rate of 10-15% every year. It is estimated that by 2025, the laser industry will contribute 1% to the annual GDP of Lithuania, and the development speed is still ahead of other countries in the world.
Faced with the status quo of the Lithuanian laser industry, qiuhangkai, the founder of the Chinese laser enterprise aochuang photonics, once said with worry that once Lithuania restricts the export of lasers or laser raw device products to China, many domestic universities and even scientific research institutions will be shut down.
Then, according to the further strengthening of China's Countermeasures against Lithuania, will Lithuania really restrict or prohibit the export of laser products to the Chinese market? Will China get stuck? If Lithuania really restricts the export of laser products to China, how should China respond?
First of all, although China is the third largest importer of Lithuanian laser products, it is difficult for Lithuania to do so if Lithuania wants to choke on China in terms of laser technology, given China's current level of laser technology.
More than 10 years ago, Lithuania might have been able to do this, because more than 10 years ago, Lithuania's laser technology was truly "unique", and it was almost difficult to find an opponent comparable to Lithuania in the world.
However, ten years later, with the progress of science and technology and the development of emerging markets, there have been many new comers in the field of laser technology, who have the ability and level to catch up with and surpass Lithuania's laser technology.
In addition, there are few major innovations in Lithuanian laser technology for more than a decade, so there are more and more competitors in Lithuanian laser industry.
As mentioned above, the reason why Lithuanian laser technology is "unique" is mainly due to its early start in this field and its inherent advantages.
Among them, the former Soviet Union played the largest role in the development of Lithuanian laser technology.
Since Lithuania was a member Republic of the former Soviet Union at that time, the former Soviet Union provided a large number of important assistance projects to help Lithuania develop its economy, including the transfer of optical technology.
Moreover, the former Soviet Union also sent the most experienced optical scientists to Lithuania to help establish the R & D and production system of the laser industry.
It was with the full support of the former Soviet Union that the University of Vilnius in Lithuania developed the world's first laser generator in 1966.
Although half a year later than the United States, with the support of the former Soviet Union, Lithuania quickly established a complete industrial chain of laser production, learning and research, and opened up all links from learning to products. The laser industry is determined as a national priority strategic industry, so as to form a characteristic laser industry with complete categories and advanced technology.
In the early 1990s, after the disintegration of the former Soviet Union, Lithuania, like all the "brothers" of the former republics, successfully inherited a large number of laser technologies, including military laser technologies, from the former Soviet Union.
There are two main reasons for this.
One is the shortage of talents in Lithuania's laser industry. The previous generation of professionals and technicians have stepped into the old class, and some have even retired home for thousands of years. However, the new generation of laser technology teams are not interested in the old industry.
The other is Japan, Germany and other countries, including China, which are aggressive in laser technology and strike late, showing a strong growth momentum.
Therefore, to a large extent, Lithuania's laser industry is based on the old capital of the former Soviet Union. Once the old book is finished, you can only hope for plum blossom to quench your thirst.
At present, in addition to Lithuanian laser products, there are also laser products from Japan, Germany and other countries in the global market. If Lithuania restricts or prohibits the export of laser products to China, China can choose laser products from other countries.
It seems that Lithuania's attempt to block China's neck in laser products is entirely to lift a stone and hit itself in the foot, which is not worth the loss.
Even if China does not choose Japanese and German laser products, and only China's own laser products, it can not worry about Lithuania's neck.
In recent years, as a high-tech technology, laser products have made great progress in China, and the development speed has exceeded people's imagination. Many technologies have even reached the highest international level, and some aspects have even taken the lead in the international level.
China not only has a solid industrial foundation in the laser field, but also has rich experience in scientific research. With the improvement of the country's overall strength, China's laser industry has achieved unprecedented development in the 21st century.
On September 3, 2021, aochuang photonics in Hangzhou obtained a financing of nearly 100 million yuan. Aochuang photonics will use this investment to carry out iterative research and development of laser core devices. At the same time, it plans to build 1000 femtosecond laser industrial standardized production lines.
The implementation of these projects will further break the monopoly of overseas femtosecond lasers in China.
On November 18, 2021, Huari laser in Wuhan completed the development of 120W picosecond laser prototype and 40W femtosecond laser prototype. The relevant performance indexes of these two prototypes have also reached the level of international top products of the same kind.
In addition, Huari laser has basically achieved full independent R & D and industrialization in terms of laser core materials, components, systems, etc., and the localization rate has increased from 30% in the past to more than 95%, breaking the monopoly of foreign countries.
It can be said that China's good news in the field of laser technology is one after another.
It is against the background of science and technology driven development that China's scientific and technological circles will actively carry out independent innovation in all walks of life with unprecedented efforts, so as to break through the encirclement of foreign technology.
If Lithuania, a "small country with bullets", really restricts or prohibits the export of laser products to China, it will only make China uncomfortable for a while at most. It may affect China in the short term, but it will never harm China in the long term. On the contrary, just as the United States restricts China in the chip field, it will stimulate the Chinese people's spirit of self-reliance and desperate survival, and force China to complete a technological breakthrough in the laser field as soon as possible.
Therefore, Lithuania wants to strangle China with laser technology, which is a painless thing for China, but for Lithuania, the loss is obviously greater than that of China.
If we lose the Chinese market, Lithuania will lose the third largest market for laser technology. Lithuania is a small country. If it loses China's imports, it may become a bone breaking event.
If Lithuania loses the trade share of timber and other exports to China, it is estimated that Lithuania will not actively block China's neck with ten courage.
In fact, in the trade relations between China and Lithuania, the dominant power is always in China's hands. Is there any problem? Whose neck is it? It is not the final say that has the final say, but China the final say.
We will give a detailed explanation based on the trade volume between the two countries in 2020.
In 2020, the export volume of the neutral countries was about 2.3 billion US dollars. Among them, the trade volume of China's goods exported to Lithuania was 1.8 billion yuan, and the trade volume of goods imported from Lithuania was 480million yuan.
From this data, we can see that the trade surplus between the neutral countries is as high as 1.3 billion US dollars. It seems that China is the largest beneficiary of the trade between the neutral countries.
However, for China, the world's largest trading country, the trade surplus of US $1.3 billion is insignificant to China. Even if Lithuania does not import goods from China, China can fully absorb this import amount of Lithuania through other markets.
However, for Lithuania, the trade volume of 480million yuan exported to China is very important. Once the Chinese market is lost, it means that Lithuania's GDP will lose 1%.
If the adverse effects such as worker unemployment and industrial contraction are added, the actual losses are obviously much larger.
Therefore, despite Lithuania's constant provocation against China at the instigation of the United States. However, in the face of China's counter-measures, although it felt uncomfortable, it did not take any other action with practical effect except asking for help everywhere. It even did not have the courage to impose any trade restrictions on China.
Therefore, if Lithuania will restrict or prohibit the export of domestic laser products to the Chinese market, it will not do such stupid things with ten courage, unless it is out of his mind.
China, on the other hand, does not have so many scruples. It not only downgrades Lithuania to an "agency" in terms of diplomatic relations, but also takes measures not to import Lithuania's timber, grain, cheese and other commodities, which makes Lithuania miserable.
Even the Chinese customs once removed Lithuania from the customs system, so that Lithuania did not have the name of "Lithuania" when making customs declaration.
These are also the beginning of the bitter days in Lithuania. What makes Lithuania complain the most is that China has restricted and reduced exports to Lithuania, resulting in the display of containers in many stores and supermarkets in Lithuania, and the serious shortage of materials for daily life of residents.
At present, not only do German enterprises that have close relations and cooperation with Lithuania have great opinions against the Lithuanian government, but according to the poll, the Lithuanian people also have great opinions on the government. More than 40% of the Lithuanian people believe that the government's policy towards China is wrong, which has affected their lives.
Although Lithuania's laser technology is very developed, its dependence on China in some key scientific and technological fields is also increasing.
If Lithuania does not cooperate with China, it will cost a lot more to promote 5g and other technological innovations and replace the components of Lithuania's existing Chinese high-tech systems.
China has long pursued good neighborly and friendly foreign relations. For a long time in the past, even if some effects provoked China, China would swallow it and ignore it.
Now, with the improvement of China's national strength, China has begun to be tough in diplomacy towards hostile countries that dare to challenge China, thus becoming known as "warwolf diplomacy".
For Lithuania, it is just the chicken in China's "making an example of others". If Lithuania continues to brazenly provoke China, it will truly become what the Russian media call "China's' experimental object and white mouse 'against foreign aggression".
Next, if Lithuania clings to the U.S. thigh and continues to provoke China without a bottom line, it is believed that China will take more measures to counter it decisively.
Source: Tencent
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